Everything you need to know about weather prediction markets, NWS settlement data, and trading precipitation on Kalshi.
A beginner's guide to trading precipitation contracts on Kalshi — reading odds, understanding brackets, and placing your first trade.
Read article →Complete overview of Kalshi weather prediction markets — what they are, how they work, and settlement mechanics explained.
Read article →How NWS CLI reports determine Kalshi weather market settlements — which stations, what data, timing, and edge cases.
Read article →How rain and snow are measured by NWS — rain gauges, snow boards, trace amounts, ASOS stations, and why it matters for settlement.
Read article →Why NWS data matters more than AccuWeather or Weather.com for Kalshi settlement — a direct comparison of data sources.
Read article →How to read and interpret precipitation probability on our dashboard — divergence scores, signal flags, and what the numbers mean.
Read article →Common mistakes new weather traders make on Kalshi and how to avoid them — timing errors, liquidity traps, and settlement confusion.
Read article →Seasonal weather patterns that affect precipitation trading — monsoons, lake effect, hurricane season, and dry seasons by region.
Read article →History of prediction markets from Iowa Electronic Markets to Kalshi — how regulation evolved and where the market is heading.
Read article →Comparing Kalshi and Polymarket for weather trading — fees, liquidity, market types, and settlement differences.
Read article →Ready to put your knowledge to work?